Nerve Endings Firing Away

If you’re a nervous wreck waiting for November 4th when the country finally votes and don’t know what to make of the so-called tightening of the race flogged incessantly by the media, then Nate Silver at Five Thirty Eight eases your tension. He is uncharacteristically specific and uses his own 2/2/2 condition by saying that “In order to conclude the Electoral College has tightened to the point where the outcome on November 4 is at least moderately uncertain” he would want to see the following:

“John McCain polling within 2 points in 2 or more non-partisan polls (sorry, Strategic Vision) in at least 2 out of the 3 following states: Colorado, Virginia, Pennsylvania.”

If this condition is fulfilled say, a day or two before the election then be prepared for a long night with McCain still not a favorite otherwise you can easily make it to bed before 10pm fully knowing who the President is gonna be. Don’t expect the media to tell you this. It is not in their best interest to call this ahead of time even if it is painfully obvious.