The Beg 3 and Politics

It is raining bailouts and after the $700 billion largesse for the financial industry almost every industry is knocking on the Capitol doors asking for a similar handout. Turn on the TV and you seen countless arguments for or against the bailout for the auto companies or as they are/were popularly know, the Big 3 – GM, Ford, and Chrysler. Honestly, it should be 2.25 or even less because honestly Chrysler is not in the same league. There are sound reasons for rejecting this blatant beg and allowing the industry to declare bankruptcy but then again, it is the context that matters. We are in one of the worst economic downturns so much so that another shock to the system will send the Dow plunging and unemployment and inflation sky high. It is indeed a difficult choice.

Although it makes perfect economic sense to let Detroit go bankrupt allowing it to restructure, the reality is that the 2-3 million job loss, pensions wipe out, and consequential effects on other ancillary industries and indicators. If the rest of the economy was strong and rising, I would be dead against the bailout. Now I’m merely conflicted. Theoretically I approve of rejecting the bailout but I don’t believe that bankruptcy is going to rescue Detroit; restructuring or otherwise. So it all comes down to biting the bullet and learning to deal with not only the economic avalanche but also the political fallout.

Don’t be swayed by the arguments on TV because if you look beyond the faces and their arguments, their motivations are completely different from what they state. All the supporters of the bailout are from the Michigan delegation e.g. Senator Levin who offers economic reasons and doomsday predictions in the wake of a bailout rejection. On the other hand, those against the bailout citing lessons from the free market are from non-Midwest states such as Senator Shelby whose state Alabama is home to ‘foreign’ car assembly plants. It is all politics yet no one seems to admit it. For once, I would like to see a non-Michigan Congressional member support the bailout and a Michigan member speak against it. I’m sure you’ll be hard pressed to find such a member. This election stripped Michigan of its swing state status and the Democrats would like to keep it that way and the only way they can is by refusing to acknowledge a dying industry.

Pandering to the constituents is the elephant in the room and no one on TV even talks about it. All the economics and free market lessons from the politicians are bunkum because if the car industry was in Birmingham (Alabama), you would see roles reversed. Politicians, I can understand but what stops the TV pundits from confronting this obvious truth? Let us not pretend that loyalty to an economic ideology dictates our actions because if that were true, we wouldn’t have seen any bailouts. As Carville would say it, it is the politics, stupid.


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  • http://elekhni.com Lekhni

    A Chapter 11 bankruptcy (i.e. a reorg) won’t result in job losses.

  • http://www.ipatrix.com Patrix

    @Lekhni: Do you really think that Chapter 11 won’t lead to Chapter 7 (liquidation) for an admittedly failing badly-run set of industries? I buy the argument that Chapter 11 for airlines is different from auto companies because buying a car is a long-term investment compared to buying a plane ticket.

  • http://lotusnova.blogspot.com/ Amit

    Chapter 11 helps a company to start with a clean slate if there are creditors waiting outside the door and there’s no money to pay them. I doubt if that’s the case with GM – it’s not because they owe money to creditors which they cannot pay back that they’re in trouble.

    I also have to wonder about the reports of CEOs using private jets to fly around – if true and if using company money for this, maybe they need to learn from the Wipro chief Premji who flies economy class when on business. Continuing to display such extravagance while facing financial problems and then asking for money is not helpful at all. Reminds me of AIG’s big party after the bailout.

  • http://ashujo.blogspot.com Ashutosh

    For once I am with some Republicans who wonder if all industry is set to be nationalized. With such bailouts you are just pushing the burden on future generations, who are already burdened with paying for things like climate change and environmental destruction. One of the problems of course is that you appease one and then everyone will start lining up. In Philadelphia, I heard reports of students lining up to ask for bailouts on their student loans!
    But I agree; even I feel conflicted about this. It seems like a domestic Iraq- the only choices are between bad and worse.

  • http://www.ipatrix.com Patrix

    @Amit: That’s why I believe that Chapter 11 will probably not solve their problems. There has to be a philosophical shift in the way Detroit does business and with the current crop of management, I don’t see the change happening.

    I reluctantly am in favor of the bailout but with heavy-duty strings attached and of course, sacking of the management. If the industry wants a socialist bailout then go all the way in otherwise let the market take care of it and no bailout…can’t have it both ways.

    @Ashutosh: sometimes I feel that Detroit is simply piling on and using the current economic crisis as an excuse, they were in trouble long before this crisis hit. Probably it made it worse but fundamentally they were doomed to fail. The bailout if it happens should kick out the board and the management and get additional oversight on how the bailout money is spent. If they are uncomfortable with such socialist overtures then let the market take care of them.

  • ew

    This “solution” really does take a lot away from the system of capitalism. The illuminati suggesting this is the only way to make it work doesn’t take into account that a company doesn’t always die from declaring bankruptcy, often they just restructure and become more efficient